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Academy Awards 2023: Odds and Predictions

Angelos Anastassopoulos February 1, 2023
2023 Academy Awards Odds Oscar Betting oscars 2023 predictions

There is no film award more prestigious than an Oscar. While a golden statue will not necessarily define a movie’s legacy (Citizen Kane only won one, while Alfred Hitchcock never won a single Oscar), they are the El Dorado for so many actors and filmmakers. The 2023 Academy Awards are around the corner and brings you the Oscars favourites and our experts’ Academy Awards predictions for 2023.

When is the 2023 Academy Awards ceremony?

The 95th Academy Awards will be presented on the 12th of March, at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles. Jimmy Kimmel with host the show for the third time. Voting among Academy members starts on the 2nd of March and will be concluded on the 7th.

2023 Oscar Nominations and Stats

  • Everything Everywhere All at Once received the most nominations, with 11.
  • A trailblazer in the film industry, John Williams made history at age 90 as he became the oldest Academy Award nominee ever. His record-breaking 53rd nomination also highlights his passion for creating classic musical scores that continue to move and inspire audiences around the world.
  • Angela Bassett became the first actor to receive a nomination for their work in Marvel Cinematic Universe.
  • This year’s Best Actor nominations mark a historical turning point, having not been seen since 1932: all of the nominees are first-timers at the Oscars.
  • This year’s Oscars set a record with 16 first-time actors nominated across four acting categories – the highest in Academy Award history! It was an impressive showing that brought fresh and exciting talent to the red carpet.
  • Judd Hirsch became the first actor to be nominated for Best Supporting Actor over four decades apart. After being recognised in 1981 for his performance in Ordinary People (1980), he was now awarded a second nomination for The Fabelmans.
  • By receiving a nomination in the Live Action Short Film category, Alfonso Cuarón became one of only two directors to be honoured by an Oscar nod across seven different categories. This achievement equalled Kenneth Branagh’s record set the year prior.

Academy Awards Favourites and Predictions

With nominations already announced, more of the best online bookmakers have started offering odds for the 2023 Academy Awards ceremony. Here are the favourites and our predictions for each of the top Oscar categories for 2023.

Best Picture

The last time we discussed the 2023 Academy Awards, back in October, The Fabelmans was the clear favourite. Now it has slipped into fourth place and Daniel Kwan’s and Daniel Scheinert’s absurdist drama Everything Everywhere All at Once has taken the top of the odds list. It is the clear-cut favourite, ahead of The Banshees of Inisherin and Top Gun: Maverick.

Prediction: Everything Everywhere All at Once is a beautiful picture. But it is a sci-fi comedy-drama. The Academy is historically biased against science fiction and comedy. The Banshees of Inisherin won the Golden Globe for Βest Comedy/Musical. I do want to see Everything Everywhere win, but I have a gut feeling it will be snubbed and the Banshees of Inisherin will actually come on top. An upset like that is the ideal chance to utilise your welcome bonus betting.

Oscar Best Picture 2023

Best Director

The Daniels, as Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert are collectively known, are the favourites for their work on Everything Everywhere All at Once. Steven Spielberg, the proud owner of three Academy Awards statuettes, is the strongest outsider for The Fabelmans, while Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) comes third.

Prediction: I feel the Academy wants to give Steven Spielberg something, especially for a movie that is nothing less than a love letter to Hollywood. I can see him winning his fourth Oscar and his first after 1999.

Academy Awards Best Director Odds

Best Leading Actor

Brendan Fraser has been the frontrunner for months, for his role at The Whale. Still the other two main contestants, Austin Butler (Elvis) and Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), both left the Golden Globes with an award, while Fraser did not (although he did win in the Critics’ Choice Movie Awards).

Prediction: This will be a close one. As things stand now, it seems like it will be a race mainly between Brendan Fraser and Austin Butler. My personal favourite this year is Colin Farrell, but I feel Brendan Fraser will win it. We will have more clues after the BAFTA, PGA, and SAG Awards.

Best Actor Oscars Odds

Best Leading Actress

Cate Blanchett has been sweeping all awards for her role in TÁR. The Australian actress is the favourite to win her third award and second for a leading role. Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once) is the only one who seems to have any chance of an upset.

Prediction: For the first time in ages, the Leading Actress award has a clear favourite. Cate Blanchett deserves the win and she will likely get it.

Oscars 2023 Odds - Leading Actress

Best Supporting Actor

There is a reason why Ke Huy Quan is such a strong favourite on the odds list. He is winning every award available and he leads a feel-good story, as he stopped acting in 1992, due to a lack of opportunities, but returned to shoot Everything Everywhere All at Once. It seems like the most set-in-stone award of the year.

Prediction: I can’t go past Ke Huy Quan in this. He will win it.

Academy Awards winner odds supporting actor

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett will most likely become the first actor to win an Oscar for a Marvel role. She is a strong favourite and her case is constantly getting stronger. Kerry Condon is the only one who seems to have a chance against her, for her role in The Banshees of Inisherin.

Prediction: My personal favourite is Condon, but it seems unlikely that Bassett will lose.

Best Supporting Actress Academy Awards 2023

Best Original Screenplay

This is a real toss-up between Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) and The Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once). There is no clear favourite for now. So far they have split the major awards, as McDonagh won the Golden Globe and The Daniels won the Critics’ Award.

Prediction: This award is voted on by screenwriters. They tend to be more progressive than the other Academy Awards votes. I expect them to pick the weird action comedy, Everything Everywhere All at Once.

Best Original Screenplay Odds

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