By John R. Baldwin
Yesterday’s Champions League matches were hectic. A tally of 33 goals. Six out of the eight games ended up with over 2.5 goals. We can’t expect the same, can we? Either way. That’s not really the case. We got some amazing matches tonight, including Barcelona vs Bayern Munich.
Will the result of said Barcelona vs Bayern match matter in the end? It probably won’t. If Inter wins their game against Viktoria Plzen, we know which two will advance to the next round. So there is a chance both managers rest some of their starters. So, what do we do with that information?
This is a hard match to assess right now. It is true that it is more fit for live betting. First of all, since Inter are playing Viktoria Plzen in the early window, we will already know whether Barcelona is still in the race to qualify from the Champions League Group Stage.
So if you are wondering how you will use that free bet of yours, probably you should think outside the box. Barcelona have conceded in all games so far. Most of the goals scored against them have come in the second half. The ones scored in the first half? On the 44th and 45th minute. At the same time, both goals Bayern have conceded came in the back end of the game. So both teams to score in the second half is my choice for a fun bet, valued at 2.40.
Barcelona vs Bayern Pick: Both Teams to Score in the 2nd Half @2.40
My title today is “Line Misreadings”. And I do believe there are two over/under lines misread by bookmakers. The most important is the one in Belgium. Brugge top their group, they have not let a single go in and they know that a single draw will secure first place for them. They won’t put in any risk at all. This is the most obvious under recipe and yet it is offered at 1.92. I buy it every day.
Club Brugge vs Porto Pick: Under 2.5 goals @1.92
This is the exact opposite. There is no reason any of the two should play it safe. I expect them to go full-on attacking. The over 2.5 goals has started plummeting as a market, but still there is value there.
Frankfurt vs Marseille Pick: Over 2.5 goals @1.94
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